![]() ![]() But this is the first federal election test of whether the suburban shift was mainly anti-Trump or a more permanent move in Democrats’ favor. Phil Murphy carried the party over the county’s native son, Republican Jack Ciattarelli, by about 4 points. There were encouraging signs for Democrats in Somerset County’s 2021 election results, when Democratic Gov. The question now is whether the political shift is permanent. Voters in the suburbs of North and Central Jersey had a distaste for Trump and it showed at the ballot box. An early sign of change came in 2016, when Josh Gottheimer defeated conservative Republican Scott Garrett in a district that was a mix of well-heeled Bergen County suburbs and rural swaths of northwestern New Jersey. ![]() Another patrician congressman, Republican Leonard Lance tried to hold on but lost to Malinowski by 5 points in the 7th District. Rodney Frelinghuysen - a member of a political dynasty and the personification of the staid Republicanism those suburbs had been associated with - saw the warning signs and retired. An early sign of change came in 2016, when Gottheimer defeated conservative Republican Scott Garrett in a district that was a mix of well-heeled Bergen County suburbs and rural swaths of northwestern New Jersey.īut in 2018, during Trump’s midterm, longtime 11th District Republican Rep. Prior to the Trump era, Republicans could count on winning many of New York City’s wealthy suburbs and exurbs in places like Morris and Somerset counties. Here are some things to watch for on Tuesday: The suburbs But after Democrats faced traumatic state-level losses in 2021, they’re plenty nervous this year. ![]() Most New Jersey Democrats are running under a friendlier map than they had before redistricting, giving the party some measure of reassurance. Jeff Van Drew, hemorrhaging support from his own party over his refusal to vote to impeach the-President Donald Trump, switched from Democrat to Republican. Both have benefited from millions of dollars in ads to help their respective campaigns earmarked by former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg.ĭemocrats are largely defending gains they made in 2018, when the state’s congressional delegation went from 7 Democrats and 5 Republicans to 11 Democrats and 1 Republican. Mikie Sherrill in the 11th District are also considered potentially vulnerable if the national environment is worse than expected for Democrats. Andy Kim is in a tough race against Republican yacht company CEO Bob Healey.Įlsewhere, three-term Democratic incumbent Josh Gottheimer in the 5th District and two-term Democratic Rep. In South Jersey's 3rd District, two-term Democratic Rep. Tom Malinowski, whose own party sacrificed him in redistricting and who has seen a spate of negative headlines over his late reporting of stock trades. is the favorite to oust two-term Democratic Rep. In Central Jersey's 7th Congressional District, Republican Tom Kean Jr. ![]()
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